Muay Thai

Will Muay Thai be confirmed for the 2030 Youth Olympics?

40%-4
8mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ250 if YES wins

23%50%

Volume

Ɓ238K

Traders

254

Liquidity

Ɓ29K

Closes

11 May 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.40
CostƁ4.00
Trading feeƁ0.17
Max payoutƁ10 · +150%
payout multiple2.50x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ4.17

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 40% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved down 4 pts on the latest team news. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 70%.

Bull case

  • Key players return from injury; full-strength squad confirmed in training
  • Recent head-to-head record clearly favors the 'Yes' side

Bear case

  • Fixture congestion across three competitions raises rotation risk
  • Away form has dipped with only one win in the last five

Confidence

69%
  • Betting-implied models and market pricing have converged within ~3 points
  • Betting-implied models and market pricing have converged within ~3 points

Key developments

  1. A surprise lineup change shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (6)

PT

@preawt · 21h

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

BK

@bua.k · 1d

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

BK

@bua.k · 1d

Whales have been accumulating all morning. Watch the tape.

PT

@preawt · 3d

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

MS

@malisrisuk · 4d

ไม่เอาน่า ผมว่าโอกาสแค่ครึ่งเดียว

CS

@chaisaetae · 5d

Any chance this gets delayed again? That's the real risk.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves on the official result published by the competition organizer (league, AFC, FIFA, or ONE Championship).

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Official stadium result sheets. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Betting-implied models and market pricing have converged within ~3 points
  • •Betting-implied models and market pricing have converged within ~3 points
  • •Recent head-to-head record clearly favors the 'Yes' side
#olympics