Muay Thai

Will Rajadamnern Stadium sell out 10+ events this year?

51%+4
5mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ196 if YES wins

40%62%

Volume

Ɓ137K

Traders

61

Liquidity

Ɓ16K

Closes

14 Feb 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.51
CostƁ5.10
Trading feeƁ0.17
Max payoutƁ10 · +96%
payout multiple1.96x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ5.27

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 51% — traders lean Yes. Over the last week the probability moved up 4 pts on an injury announcement. Top-trader positioning is balanced, and our model confidence is 78%.

Bull case

  • Key players return from injury; full-strength squad confirmed in training
  • Recent head-to-head record clearly favors the 'Yes' side

Bear case

  • Fixture congestion across three competitions raises rotation risk
  • Away form has dipped with only one win in the last five

Confidence

76%
  • The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome
  • Betting-implied models and market pricing have converged within ~3 points

Key developments

  1. A surprise lineup change shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (4)

GL

@grace.l · 1d

ไม่เอาน่า ผมว่าโอกาสแค่ครึ่งเดียว

MS

@malisrisuk · 2d

ข่าวนี้น่าจะดันราคาขึ้นอีกเวฟ ถือยาว 👍

OJ

@ohmjaidee · 4d

Respectfully, the crowd is wrong on this. The base rate says otherwise.

NA

@nokairin · 4d

This is free money before the deadline, change my mind.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves on the official result published by the competition organizer (league, AFC, FIFA, or ONE Championship).

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Official stadium result sheets. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome
  • •Betting-implied models and market pricing have converged within ~3 points
  • •Home advantage has historically been worth ~8 points in this fixture
#stadium