Food

Will Bangkok list 50+ new Michelin-selected spots this year?

65%+7
7mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ154 if YES wins

54%77%

Volume

Ɓ153K

Traders

213

Liquidity

Ɓ18K

Closes

21 Apr 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.65
CostƁ6.50
Trading feeƁ0.16
Max payoutƁ10 · +54%
payout multiple1.54x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ6.66

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 65% — traders lean Yes. Over the last week the probability moved up 7 pts on an organizer announcement. Top-trader positioning is skewed bullish, and our model confidence is 69%.

Bull case

  • Early ticket sales and social buzz are tracking well above last year
  • Government promotion budgets for this event were increased

Bear case

  • Weather risk during the event window could suppress turnout
  • Crowd-control restrictions may cap official attendance figures

Confidence

59%
  • Flight search data to Thailand is up double digits year-over-year
  • The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions

Key developments

  1. Social media trends shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (7)

FS

@fahsai · 15h

Any chance this gets delayed again? That's the real risk.

TK

@tanawatk · 2d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

NA

@nokairin · 4d

Respectfully, the crowd is wrong on this. The base rate says otherwise.

NA

@nokairin · 4d

This resolved YES last year under similar conditions.

RM

@ratchata · 4d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

PT

@preawt · 5d

The odds don't reflect the latest news at all. Loading up on Yes here.

MS

@malisrisuk · 5d

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

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Related news

Food· Bangkok Post· 22h

Michelin Guide Bangkok 2026: what to expect

Resolution criteria

Resolves on organizer-confirmed figures, award records, or official government statistics as applicable.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Michelin Guide announcements. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Flight search data to Thailand is up double digits year-over-year
  • •The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions
  • •Government promotion budgets for this event were increased
#michelin