Food

Will a Thai restaurant enter World's 50 Best top 10?

16%-2
11mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ625 if YES wins

6%28%

Volume

Ɓ365K

Traders

252

Liquidity

Ɓ44K

Closes

4 Aug 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.16
CostƁ1.60
Trading feeƁ0.09
Max payoutƁ10 · +525%
payout multiple6.25x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ1.69

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 16% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved down 2 pts on an organizer announcement. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 86%.

Bull case

  • Early ticket sales and social buzz are tracking well above last year
  • Government promotion budgets for this event were increased

Bear case

  • Weather risk during the event window could suppress turnout
  • Crowd-control restrictions may cap official attendance figures

Confidence

83%
  • Organizer guidance and hotel bookings are the best leading indicators
  • The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions

Key developments

  1. Early ticket sales shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (7)

TP

@tle.p · 8h

Respectfully, the crowd is wrong on this. The base rate says otherwise.

MR

@mayr · 21h

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

TP

@tle.p · 1d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

GL

@grace.l · 1d

This is free money before the deadline, change my mind.

MP

@minta.p · 2d

AI summary is spot on this time. Bull case is strong.

BT

@banktawan · 3d

AI summary is spot on this time. Bull case is strong.

PN

@ploykn · 4d

This is free money before the deadline, change my mind.

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Related news

Food· Bangkok Post· 22h

Michelin Guide Bangkok 2026: what to expect

Resolution criteria

Resolves on organizer-confirmed figures, award records, or official government statistics as applicable.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Michelin Guide announcements. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Organizer guidance and hotel bookings are the best leading indicators
  • •The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions
  • •International media coverage is trending positive
#50best