Bangkok

Will Bangkok be announced as an F1 street race host in 2027?

14%-8
3mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ714 if YES wins

0%22%

Volume

Ɓ66K

Traders

48

Liquidity

Ɓ7.9K

Closes

25 Nov 2026

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.14
CostƁ1.40
Trading feeƁ0.08
Max payoutƁ10 · +614%
payout multiple7.14x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ1.48

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 14% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved down 8 pts on a new opinion poll. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 89%.

Bull case

  • Coalition whips express confidence; two smaller parties signalled support this week
  • Latest NIDA Poll shows approval up 4 points month-over-month

Bear case

  • Two coalition partners publicly split on the key clause
  • Senate scrutiny adds procedural risk and possible delay

Confidence

90%
  • Market-implied probability has tracked poll releases closely this quarter
  • The parliamentary calendar leaves roughly six sitting weeks of runway

Key developments

  1. Coalition negotiations shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (6)

BT

@banktawan · 21h

ข่าวนี้น่าจะดันราคาขึ้นอีกเวฟ ถือยาว 👍

NS

@napat_trades · 2d

Whales have been accumulating all morning. Watch the tape.

SP

@somchai_p · 2d

AI summary is spot on this time. Bull case is strong.

NA

@nokairin · 2d

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

BK

@bua.k · 2d

ข่าวนี้น่าจะดันราคาขึ้นอีกเวฟ ถือยาว 👍

BK

@bua.k · 3d

This is free money before the deadline, change my mind.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves based on official records of Parliament and publications in the Royal Gazette.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: BTS/MRT operator bulletins · Bangkok Post. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Market-implied probability has tracked poll releases closely this quarter
  • •The parliamentary calendar leaves roughly six sitting weeks of runway
  • •Coalition whips express confidence; two smaller parties signalled support this week
#f1#sports