Crypto

Bitcoin above $120,000 on Dec 31, 2027?

34%+7
3mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ294 if YES wins

23%43%

Volume

Ɓ25K

Traders

48

Liquidity

Ɓ3.0K

Closes

19 Dec 2026

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.34
CostƁ3.40
Trading feeƁ0.16
Max payoutƁ10 · +194%
payout multiple2.94x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ3.56

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 34% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved up 7 pts on the weekly options expiry. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 63%.

Bull case

  • Spot ETF inflows have been net positive for six straight weeks
  • Post-halving supply dynamics have historically supported price 12–18 months out

Bear case

  • Macro tightening could drain risk appetite from speculative assets
  • Regulatory overhang remains in two of the largest markets

Confidence

91%
  • Historical base rate for similar thresholds over comparable windows is ~45–55%
  • This market tends to gap on US macro print days

Key developments

  1. Fed commentary shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (4)

KW

@kanya.w · 3d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

NA

@nokairin · 3d

AI summary is spot on this time. Bull case is strong.

TP

@tle.p · 4d

Chart looks like a textbook head and shoulders. Careful.

FS

@fahsai · 4d

Chart looks like a textbook head and shoulders. Careful.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves using the CoinGecko USD price at 12:00 UTC on the closing date.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: CoinGecko closing prices (UTC). Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Historical base rate for similar thresholds over comparable windows is ~45–55%
  • •This market tends to gap on US macro print days
  • •Spot ETF inflows have been net positive for six straight weeks
#btc#price