Culture

Will the Grand Palace reach 10M visitors this year?

50%-5
6mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ200 if YES wins

39%61%

Volume

Ɓ125K

Traders

133

Liquidity

Ɓ15K

Closes

7 Mar 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.50
CostƁ5.00
Trading feeƁ0.18
Max payoutƁ10 · +100%
payout multiple2.00x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ5.18

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 50% — traders lean Yes. Over the last week the probability moved down 5 pts on social media trends. Top-trader positioning is balanced, and our model confidence is 73%.

Bull case

  • Early ticket sales and social buzz are tracking well above last year
  • Government promotion budgets for this event were increased

Bear case

  • Weather risk during the event window could suppress turnout
  • Crowd-control restrictions may cap official attendance figures

Confidence

73%
  • Flight search data to Thailand is up double digits year-over-year
  • The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions

Key developments

  1. Social media trends shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (7)

IK

@isankid · 3h

Chart looks like a textbook head and shoulders. Careful.

BT

@banktawan · 1d

The odds don't reflect the latest news at all. Loading up on Yes here.

NA

@nokairin · 1d

Chart looks like a textbook head and shoulders. Careful.

WK

@wink · 2d

Whales have been accumulating all morning. Watch the tape.

NS

@napat_trades · 3d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

NP

@nongploy · 3d

Chart looks like a textbook head and shoulders. Careful.

NA

@nokairin · 3d

This is free money before the deadline, change my mind.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves on organizer-confirmed figures, award records, or official government statistics as applicable.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Fine Arts Department records. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Flight search data to Thailand is up double digits year-over-year
  • •The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions
  • •Government promotion budgets for this event were increased
#landmark