Culture

Will Nang Yai shadow puppetry receive UNESCO listing this year?

44%+2
1mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ227 if YES wins

35%54%

Volume

Ɓ385K

Traders

298

Liquidity

Ɓ46K

Closes

9 Oct 2026

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.44
CostƁ4.40
Trading feeƁ0.17
Max payoutƁ10 · +127%
payout multiple2.27x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ4.57

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 44% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved up 2 pts on social media trends. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 88%.

Bull case

  • Early ticket sales and social buzz are tracking well above last year
  • Government promotion budgets for this event were increased

Bear case

  • Weather risk during the event window could suppress turnout
  • Crowd-control restrictions may cap official attendance figures

Confidence

61%
  • The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions
  • Flight search data to Thailand is up double digits year-over-year

Key developments

  1. A sponsor update shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (3)

PN

@ploykn · 3d

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

CS

@chaisaetae · 4d

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

YR

@yodrak · 5d

Respectfully, the crowd is wrong on this. The base rate says otherwise.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves on organizer-confirmed figures, award records, or official government statistics as applicable.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Fine Arts Department records. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions
  • •Flight search data to Thailand is up double digits year-over-year
  • •International media coverage is trending positive
#unesco