Football

Will Thailand reach the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?

46%-6
4d left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ217 if YES wins

38%60%

Volume

Ɓ282K

Traders

136

Liquidity

Ɓ34K

Closes

29 Aug 2026

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.46
CostƁ4.60
Trading feeƁ0.17
Max payoutƁ10 · +117%
payout multiple2.17x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ4.77

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 46% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved down 6 pts on a surprise lineup change. Top-trader positioning is balanced, and our model confidence is 76%.

Bull case

  • Key players return from injury; full-strength squad confirmed in training
  • Recent head-to-head record clearly favors the 'Yes' side

Bear case

  • Fixture congestion across three competitions raises rotation risk
  • Away form has dipped with only one win in the last five

Confidence

69%
  • The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome
  • The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome

Key developments

  1. The weekend's results shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (7)

PS

@peaks · 2d

This is free money before the deadline, change my mind.

MR

@mayr · 2d

Sold my position too early 😭 lesson learned.

BK

@bua.k · 2d

AI summary is spot on this time. Bull case is strong.

FS

@fahsai · 2d

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

TP

@tle.p · 3d

Chart looks like a textbook head and shoulders. Careful.

BT

@banktawan · 3d

Whales have been accumulating all morning. Watch the tape.

SP

@somchai_p · 3d

Any chance this gets delayed again? That's the real risk.

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Related news

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Buriram extend lead at the top after derby win

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War Elephants name squad for ASEAN Championship semi

Resolution criteria

Resolves on the official result published by the competition organizer (league, AFC, FIFA, or ONE Championship).

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Official league results · FIFA/Thai League. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome
  • •The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome
  • •Home advantage has historically been worth ~8 points in this fixture
#national-team#afc