Football

BG Pathum United to beat Chonburi FC in the league meeting?

57%+4
7mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ175 if YES wins

47%68%

Volume

Ɓ383K

Traders

237

Liquidity

Ɓ46K

Closes

13 Apr 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.57
CostƁ5.70
Trading feeƁ0.17
Max payoutƁ10 · +75%
payout multiple1.75x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ5.87

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 57% — traders lean Yes. Over the last week the probability moved up 4 pts on an injury announcement. Top-trader positioning is skewed bullish, and our model confidence is 71%.

Bull case

  • Key players return from injury; full-strength squad confirmed in training
  • Recent head-to-head record clearly favors the 'Yes' side

Bear case

  • Fixture congestion across three competitions raises rotation risk
  • Away form has dipped with only one win in the last five

Confidence

75%
  • Lineup news tends to move this market 5–10 points in matchday week
  • The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome

Key developments

  1. The latest team news shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (8)

NP

@nongploy · 16h

Whales have been accumulating all morning. Watch the tape.

WK

@wink · 1d

Chart looks like a textbook head and shoulders. Careful.

MR

@mayr · 1d

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

KW

@kanya.w · 2d

ไม่เอาน่า ผมว่าโอกาสแค่ครึ่งเดียว

CS

@chaisaetae · 2d

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

MR

@mayr · 3d

The odds don't reflect the latest news at all. Loading up on Yes here.

AB

@arthitb · 4d

Respectfully, the crowd is wrong on this. The base rate says otherwise.

PS

@peaks · 4d

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves on the official result published by the competition organizer (league, AFC, FIFA, or ONE Championship).

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Official league results · FIFA/Thai League. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Lineup news tends to move this market 5–10 points in matchday week
  • •The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome
  • •Recent head-to-head record clearly favors the 'Yes' side
#thai-league#matchday