Tech

Will Thailand auction new 5G spectrum this year?

52%+9
3mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ192 if YES wins

44%67%

Volume

Ɓ42K

Traders

48

Liquidity

Ɓ5.0K

Closes

10 Dec 2026

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.52
CostƁ5.20
Trading feeƁ0.17
Max payoutƁ10 · +92%
payout multiple1.92x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ5.37

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 52% — traders lean Yes. Over the last week the probability moved up 9 pts on a corporate earnings call. Top-trader positioning is balanced, and our model confidence is 67%.

Bull case

  • Government incentive packages (BOI) have been announced for this sector
  • Regional peers have already secured comparable deals this year

Bear case

  • Global funding conditions remain selective for new commitments
  • Power and land availability constrain large infrastructure timelines

Confidence

74%
  • Comparable regional deals took 9–15 months from rumor to signing
  • Comparable regional deals took 9–15 months from rumor to signing

Key developments

  1. An industry conference shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (8)

SP

@somchai_p · 13h

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

NA

@nokairin · 1d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

TK

@tanawatk · 1d

Respectfully, the crowd is wrong on this. The base rate says otherwise.

CS

@chaisaetae · 1d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

AB

@arthitb · 2d

Respectfully, the crowd is wrong on this. The base rate says otherwise.

CS

@chaisaetae · 3d

ไม่เอาน่า ผมว่าโอกาสแค่ครึ่งเดียว

NS

@napat_trades · 5d

Sold my position too early 😭 lesson learned.

PN

@ploykn · 5d

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves on official announcements by the companies or government agencies involved.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Company filings · BOI announcements. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Comparable regional deals took 9–15 months from rumor to signing
  • •Comparable regional deals took 9–15 months from rumor to signing
  • •Government incentive packages (BOI) have been announced for this sector
#5g#spectrum