World

Will global EV sales grow 20%+ in 2027?

41%-5
3mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ244 if YES wins

22%50%

Volume

Ɓ38K

Traders

48

Liquidity

Ɓ4.6K

Closes

24 Nov 2026

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.41
CostƁ4.10
Trading feeƁ0.17
Max payoutƁ10 · +144%
payout multiple2.44x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ4.27

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 41% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved down 5 pts on a trade data release. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 73%.

Bull case

  • Export orders have improved for three consecutive months
  • Tourism receipts are running ahead of the same period last year

Bear case

  • A global slowdown remains the key risk to external demand
  • Household debt near record highs limits consumption growth

Confidence

72%
  • Consensus forecasts cluster near the threshold — small surprises decide this
  • The last three prints of this series beat or missed consensus 2 of 3 times

Key developments

  1. A policy announcement shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (7)

NS

@napat_trades · 23h

Whales have been accumulating all morning. Watch the tape.

OJ

@ohmjaidee · 2d

Sold my position too early 😭 lesson learned.

MP

@minta.p · 2d

This resolved YES last year under similar conditions.

PT

@preawt · 3d

ไม่เอาน่า ผมว่าโอกาสแค่ครึ่งเดียว

PT

@preawt · 3d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

NA

@nokairin · 4d

Respectfully, the crowd is wrong on this. The base rate says otherwise.

NA

@nokairin · 4d

This resolved YES last year under similar conditions.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves on official data from the Bank of Thailand, NSO, SEC, or SET as applicable.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Reuters / AP wire confirmation. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Consensus forecasts cluster near the threshold — small surprises decide this
  • •The last three prints of this series beat or missed consensus 2 of 3 times
  • •Export orders have improved for three consecutive months
#ev