Thai Celebs

Will BLACKPINK tour Bangkok again in 2027?

41%-6
7mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ244 if YES wins

31%65%

Volume

Ɓ107K

Traders

146

Liquidity

Ɓ13K

Closes

16 Apr 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.41
CostƁ4.10
Trading feeƁ0.17
Max payoutƁ10 · +144%
payout multiple2.44x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ4.27

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 41% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved down 6 pts on social media trends. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 81%.

Bull case

  • Early ticket sales and social buzz are tracking well above last year
  • Government promotion budgets for this event were increased

Bear case

  • Weather risk during the event window could suppress turnout
  • Crowd-control restrictions may cap official attendance figures

Confidence

86%
  • Flight search data to Thailand is up double digits year-over-year
  • Flight search data to Thailand is up double digits year-over-year

Key developments

  1. A sponsor update shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (8)

CS

@chaisaetae · 1d

The odds don't reflect the latest news at all. Loading up on Yes here.

GL

@grace.l · 2d

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

PT

@preawt · 2d

Respectfully, the crowd is wrong on this. The base rate says otherwise.

BK

@bua.k · 2d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

BK

@bua.k · 3d

Sold my position too early 😭 lesson learned.

BT

@banktawan · 3d

Sold my position too early 😭 lesson learned.

CS

@chaisaetae · 3d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

NS

@napat_trades · 5d

Any chance this gets delayed again? That's the real risk.

Related markets

Thai Celebs

Will a Thai BL series win Best Series at a major Asian awards show?

42%+9

94 · Ɓ68K

6mo left

Thai Celebs

Will a Thai celebrity wedding top Thailand's X trends this year?

58%+7

82 · Ɓ170K

10mo left

Thai CelebsLIVE

Will a Thai celebrity win an international acting award in 2026?

36%+7

48 · Ɓ10K

5d left

Thai Celebs

Will a Thai star be cast in a Hollywood franchise this year?

23%-6

48 · Ɓ80K

5mo left

Thai Celebs

Will BILLKIN and PP Krit star in a new series together?

44%-2

174 · Ɓ358K

1y left

Thai Celebs

Will BLACKPINK tour Bangkok again in 2026?

43%+0

48 · Ɓ64K

6mo left

Related news

Celebs· Billboard· 1d

LISA teases new solo music on socials

Resolution criteria

Resolves on organizer-confirmed figures, award records, or official government statistics as applicable.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Verified artist statements · major outlets. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Flight search data to Thailand is up double digits year-over-year
  • •Flight search data to Thailand is up double digits year-over-year
  • •International media coverage is trending positive
#blackpink#concert