Thai Celebs

Will BILLKIN and PP Krit star in a new series together?

44%-2
1y left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ227 if YES wins

36%59%

Volume

Ɓ358K

Traders

174

Liquidity

Ɓ43K

Closes

16 Oct 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.44
CostƁ4.40
Trading feeƁ0.17
Max payoutƁ10 · +127%
payout multiple2.27x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ4.57

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 44% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved down 2 pts on social media trends. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 73%.

Bull case

  • Early ticket sales and social buzz are tracking well above last year
  • Government promotion budgets for this event were increased

Bear case

  • Weather risk during the event window could suppress turnout
  • Crowd-control restrictions may cap official attendance figures

Confidence

91%
  • The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions
  • The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions

Key developments

  1. A sponsor update shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (6)

SP

@somchai_p · 1h

Any chance this gets delayed again? That's the real risk.

YR

@yodrak · 8h

This resolved YES last year under similar conditions.

MS

@malisrisuk · 18h

ไม่เอาน่า ผมว่าโอกาสแค่ครึ่งเดียว

FS

@fahsai · 2d

ข่าวนี้น่าจะดันราคาขึ้นอีกเวฟ ถือยาว 👍

YR

@yodrak · 3d

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

KW

@kanya.w · 4d

ไม่เอาน่า ผมว่าโอกาสแค่ครึ่งเดียว

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Related news

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LISA teases new solo music on socials

Resolution criteria

Resolves on organizer-confirmed figures, award records, or official government statistics as applicable.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Verified artist statements · major outlets. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions
  • •The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions
  • •International media coverage is trending positive
#billkin#ppkrit